Xianan Jiang

Xianan Jiang, Ph.D.

Researcher

Tropical convection · Madden–Julian Oscillation · Subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction · Climate model diagnostics

Joint Institute for Regional Earth System Science and Engineering

University of California, Los Angeles

4242 Young Hall

607 Charles E. Young Drive

Los Angeles, CA 90095

Office & Mailing address:
4800 Oak Grove Drive
Jet Propulsion Laboratory, MS 233-300
California Institute of Technology

Pasadena, CA 91109

Email:

Tel: (818)354-4082

Home page: climvar.org/jiang

Publications: Google Scholar

Multi-scale Research

Overview

I study tropical convection and its multiscale interactions, subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) variability in the tropics and beyond, and how well weather and climate models — from conventional GCMs to kilometer-scale cloud-resolving models and AI-based models — represent them. Through process-oriented diagnostics of observations and hierarchical model experiments, I identify the physical controls of this variability and apply this understanding to two broader challenges: improving S2S prediction of high-impact weather, including tropical cyclones, cold extremes, and western U.S. precipitation; and constraining cloud feedbacks and climate sensitivity with observations.

  • Lead author of the AGU Centennial Collection review “Fifty Years of Research on the Madden–Julian Oscillation” (JGR-Atmospheres, 2020).
  • PI of the NOAA Climate Process Team on MJO initiation and propagation; co-organizer of the MJO Task Force / GEWEX GASS Global Multi-Model Evaluation Project on Vertical Structure and Diabatic Processes of the MJO.
  • Member, WMO WGNE MJO Task Force (2017–present); Topic Editor, Geoscientific Model Development (2026–present).
Recent
  • 2026 — New NOAA WPO project on seasonal prediction of western U.S. precipitation and its predictability sources using NOAA’s Seasonal Forecast System.
  • 2026 — Two new J. Climate papers: land–atmosphere control of subseasonal convection over the Maritime Continent, and the diurnal cycle of rainfall over the East Amazon.

Research Themes

My research spans four interconnected themes, united by a focus on the physical processes behind convection and subseasonal variability — in the tropics and beyond — and on how models represent them:

1. Physics of tropical intraseasonal variability

Mechanisms of the initiation, propagation, and seasonality of the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) and the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO), and their interactions with convectively coupled equatorial waves, examined through moisture-mode and moist static energy frameworks and idealized model experiments.

Jiang et al. (2004, J. Climate); Jiang and Waliser (2008, GRL); Jiang et al. (2015, JGR); Jiang (2017, JGR); Jiang et al. (2018a, J. Climate); Jiang et al. (2020, JGR); Jiang et al. (2020, npjCAS)

2. Diurnal cycle of convection and land–atmosphere interactions

How land surface processes and the diurnal cycle shape convection over tropical land — the Maritime Continent and the Amazon — and how the Maritime Continent modulates the eastward propagation of the MJO; in the midlatitudes, the roles of eastward-propagating convective episodes and the nocturnal low-level jet in the diurnal cycle of summertime rainfall over the U.S. Great Plains.

Jiang et al. (2006, GRL); Jiang et al. (2007, JAS); Jiang et al. (2019, JGR); Jiang and Ma (2026, J. Climate); Jiang et al. (2026, J. Climate)

3. Process-oriented evaluation of weather and climate models

Diagnostics that reveal why models succeed or fail in simulating tropical variability, diabatic heating, and low clouds — from conventional GCMs to kilometer-scale and AI-based models — including international multi-model evaluation projects and observational constraints on climate sensitivity.

Jiang et al. (2011, MWR); Jiang et al. (2013, J. Climate); Jiang et al. (2015, JGR); Gonzalez and Jiang (2017, GRL); Jiang et al. (2020, The Global Monsoon System); Jiang et al. (2023, Nature Communications)

4. Subseasonal-to-seasonal variability, predictability, and extremes

Sources of subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictability in the tropics and beyond: tropical influences on tropical cyclones and western U.S. precipitation, and intraseasonal-to-interannual variability of wintertime surface air temperature over North America, Eurasia, and the Arctic, including the “Warm Arctic–Cold Continent” pattern and its links to cold extremes. This work also explores pathways toward improved prediction, including with NOAA’s new Seasonal Forecast System.

Jiang et al. (2012, J. Climate); Xiang et al. (2015, MWR); Jiang et al. (2018b, J. Climate); Guan et al. (2020, J. Climate); Guan et al. (2020, GRL); Xiang et al. (2020, JGR); Xiu et al. (2022, J. Climate); Jiang et al. (2022, BAMS)

Selected Publications

  • Jiang, X., and H. Ma, 2026: A crucial role of land-atmosphere interactions in shaping subseasonal convective variability over the Maritime Continent in idealized model simulations. J. Climate, e250654, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0654.1. PDF
  • Jiang, X., P. Callaghan, A. Herrington, J. Bacmeister, R. Fu, J. Teixeira, and R. Neale, 2026: Key processes associated with the diurnal cycle of rainfall over East Amazon and their representation in global climate models. J. Climate, e250110, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0110.1. PDF
  • Xiu, J., X. Jiang*, and R. Zhang, 2025: Linking the subseasonal variability of the East Asia winter monsoon and the Madden-Julian Oscillation through wave disturbances along the subtropical jet. npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., 8, 185. doi:10.1038/s41612-025-01076-y. PDF
  • Jiang, X., Su, H., Jiang, J.H., J.D. Neelin, L. Wu, Y. Tsushima, and G. Elsaesser, 2023: Muted extratropical low cloud seasonal cycle is closely linked to underestimated climate sensitivity in models. Nature Communications, 14, 5586, doi:10.1038/s41467-023-41360-0. PDF
  • Jiang, X., D. Waliser, P. Gibson, G. Chen, and W. Guan, 2022: Why seasonal prediction of California winter precipitation is challenging? Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 103, E2688-E2700, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0252.1. PDF. Highlighted in the September 2023 Issue of Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 683-684. PDF
  • Jiang, X., A. F. Adames, D. Kim, E. Maloney, H. Lin, H. Kim, C. Zhang, C. DeMott, and N. Klingaman, 2020: Fifty Years of Research on the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Recent Progress, Challenges, and Perspectives. J. Geophysical Research - Atmosphere, 125, e2019JD030911, doi:10.1029/2019JD030911. PDF (An invited contribution for the AGU's Centennial Collection on "Grand Challenges in the Earth and Space Sciences").
  • Jiang, X., H. Su, and E. Maloney, 2020: Large-scale controls of propagation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation. npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., 3(29), doi:10.1038/s41612-020-00134-x. PDF
  • Guan, W., X. Jiang*, X. Ren, G. Chen, P. Lin, and H. Lin, 2020: The leading intraseasonal variability mode of wintertime surface air temperature over the North American sector. J. Climate, 33, 9287-9306, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0096.1. PDF
  • Jiang, X., A. F. Adames, M. Zhao, D. Waliser, and E. Maloney, 2018a: A Unified Moisture Mode Framework for Seasonality of the Madden-Julian Oscillation. J. Climate, 31, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0671.1. PDF.
  • Jiang, X., Baoqiang Xiang, Ming Zhao, Tim Li, Shian-Jiann Lin, Zhuo Wang, and Jan-Huey Chen, 2018b: Extended-Range Tropical Cyclogenesis Prediction in a Coupled Global High-Resolution Model System, J. Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0454.1. PDF
  • Gonzalez, A., and X. Jiang, 2017: Winter Mean Lower-Tropospheric Moisture over the Maritime Continent as a Climate Model Diagnostic Metric for the Propagation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, doi:10.1002/2016GL072430. PDF
  • Jiang X., 2017: Key processes for the eastward propagation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation based on multi-model simulations. J. Geophysical Research - Atmosphere, 122, doi:10.1002/2016JD025955. PDF
  • Jiang, X., D. E. Waliser, P. K. Xavier, J. Petch, N. P. Klingaman, S. J. Woolnough, Bin Guan, Gilles Bellon, T. Crueger, Charlotte DeMott, C. Hannay, H. Lin, W. Hu, D. Kim, C.-L. Lappen, M.-M. Lu, H.-Y. Ma, T. Miyakawa, J. A. Ridout, S. D. Schubert, J. Scinocca, K.-H. Seo, E. Shindo, X. Song, C. Stan, W.-L. Tseng, W. Wang, T. Wu, X. Wu, K. Wyser, G. J. Zhang, and H. Zhu, 2015: Vertical structure and diabatic processes of the Madden-Julian Oscillation: Exploring Key Model Physics in Climate Simulations, J. Geophysical Research - Atmosphere, 120, 4718-4748, doi:10.1002/2014JD022375. PDF. Reported by AGU EOS Research Spotlight (AGU web link) PDF.
  • Jiang, X., D. E. Waliser, W. S. Olson, W.-K. Tao, T. S. L'Ecuyer, S. Shige, K.-F. Li, Y. L. Yung, S. Lang, and Y. N. Takayabu, 2011: Vertical diabatic heating structure of the MJO: Intercomparison between recent reanalyses and TRMM estimates, Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 3208-3223. PDF
  • Jiang, X., N.-C. Lau, I. M. Held and J. J. Ploshay, 2007: Mechanisms of the Great-Plains low-level jet as simulated in an AGCM. J. Atmos. Sci., 64, 532-547. PDF
  • Jiang, X., N.-C. Lau, and S. A. Klein, 2006: Role of the eastward propagating convective episodes on the diurnal cycle and seasonal mean of the summertime rainfall over the U.S. Great-Plains. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L19809, doi:10.1029/2006GL027022. PDF
  • Jiang, X., T. Li and B. Wang, 2004: Structures and mechanisms of the northward propagating boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation. J. Climate, 17, 1022-1039. PDF

* Corresponding author for student papers.

Funded Projects

Current

  • NOAA/Weather Program Office (WPO): "Towards improved seasonal prediction of precipitation over the west U.S. and understanding of its predictability sources using NOAA’s Seasonal Forecast System". PI: Xianan Jiang, Co-PI: Xiaqiong Zhou (NOAA/EMC). 08/01/2026-07/31/2029.
  • DOE/Biological and Environmental Research (BER) program, the Office of Science: "Representation of the interactions between the Madden-Julian Oscillation and the Maritime Continent in the Regionally-refined Simple Cloud-Resolving E3SM Atmosphere Model (SCREAM)". PI: Xianan Jiang, Co-PI: Hsi-yen Ma (LLNL). 09/01/2023-08/31/2027.

Completed

  • NOAA/Climate Observations and Monitoring (COM) Program: "A Global Database of Tropical Intraseasonal Oscillations Based on Life-cycle Tracking of Large-scale Precipitation Features". PI: Bin Guan, Co-PI: Xianan Jiang. 09/01/2023-08/31/2026.
  • NOAA/Climate Variability and Predictability (CVP) Program: "Influences of the Maritime Continent on the Eastward Propagation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation ". PI: Xianan Jiang, Co-PI: Ming Zhao. 09/01/2017-08/31/2021.
  • NOAA/Climate Variability and Predictability (CVP) Program: "A Climate Process Team: Towards an improved understanding of the initiation and propagation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation". PI: Xianan Jiang, Co-PI: Ming Zhao; Co-Is: Duane Waliser, Bin Wang, Richard Johnson, Shian-Jiann Lin; 08/01/2015-07/31/2018.
  • NOAA/Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) Program: "Process-oriented Diagnosis and Metrics Development for the Madden-Julian Oscillation Based on Climate Simulations". PI: Xianan Jiang; Co-PI: Eric Maloney; 08/01/2015-07/31/2018.
  • NOAA/Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) Program: "Modulation of Tropical Cyclone (TC) Activity over the Intra-Americas Sea by Intraseasonal Variability: Implications for Dynamical TC Prediction on Intraseasonal Time Scales". PI: Xianan Jiang; Co-Is: Ming Zhao, Duane Waliser, Shian-Jiann Lin; 08/01/2012-07/31/2016.
  • National Science Foundation/Climate and Large Scale Dynamics Program: "Understanding the Role of Convective Momentum Transport for the Madden-Julian Oscillation", PI: Xianan Jiang; Co-Is: Duane Waliser, Mitch Moncrieff, Richard Johnson, and Ming Zhao. 07/01/2012-06/30/2016.
  • Office of Naval Research/Marine Meteorology Program: "Leveraging the MJO for predicting envelopes of tropical wave and synoptic activity at multi-week lead times", PI: Duane Waliser; Co-PI: Xianan Jiang. 04/01/2012-03/31/2015.
  • National Science Foundation/Climate and Large Scale Dynamics Program: "Diabatic Processes of the MJO: Enabling and Analyzing an MJO TF and GASS Global Model Evaluation Project", PI: Duane Waliser; Co-PI: Xianan Jiang. 08/01/2012-07/31/2015.
  • NASA/Energy and Water Cycle Study (NEWS) Program: "Characterizing Uncertainties in Large-Scale Atmospheric Heating Distributions Derived from TRMM Observations and Reanalysis Datasets". PI: Bill Olson (UMBC), UCLA PI: Xianan Jiang. 11/01/2012-10/31/2014.
  • NOAA/Climate Prediction Program of the Americas (CPPA): "Two dominant modes of the subseasonal variability of the Eastern Pacific ITCZ: Connections between extreme events, subseasonal and interannual variability". PI: Xianan Jiang; Co-PI(I)s: Duane Waliser, Stephen Lord, Augustin Vintzileos, and Ming Zhao, 08/01/2009-07/31/2012.
  • National Science Foundation/Climate and Large Scale Dynamics Program: "Collaborative research: Vertical heating structure in large-scale coupled tropical waves". PI: Xianan Jiang, Co-I: Duane Waliser; 10/01/2009-09/30/2012.
  • NOAA/Modeling, Analysis, Predictions, and Projections (MAPP) Program: "Comparison of Structure and Evolution Characteristics of Boreal Summer and Winter Intraseasonal Oscillations Derived from Reanalysis Products and Satellite Observations". PI: Tim Li (U. Hawaii), UCLA PI: Xianan Jiang; 09/01/2011-08/31/2012.

Leadership & Service

Leadership & Editorial Roles

Review & Community Service

  • Peer reviewer for Journal of Climate, Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Monthly Weather Review, Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, International Journal of Climatology, Geophysical Research Letters, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, Climate Dynamics, Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, Atmospheric Science Letters, Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, Journal of Hydrometeorology.
  • Proposal reviewer for US National Science Foundation (NSF), NOAA, NASA, DOE, National Institute for Water Resources (NIWR), UK Natural Environment Research Council (NERC), and French National Research Agency (ANR).
  • Review panelist for NOAA Climate Program Office, NASA Research Opportunities in Earth and Space Science (ROSES), and DOE Biological and Environmental Research (BER) program.
  • Judge, Outstanding Student Paper Awards (OSPA), AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, 2014–2020.

Research Experience

Education

Affiliated Societies

  • American Geophysical Union
  • American Meteorological Society